The ensuing process of obtaining that football after Mike Evans mistakenly gave it to a fan was far more interesting than the on-field game against the Bears itself. With such a small number it just makes more sense to go with the extra payoff of the ML vs the +1.5 here. The Broncos may not have a high-powered offense, but they play defense and don’t make a ton of mistakes. Neither team is in good form right now but at least the Broncos are in much better shape health-wise. Plus they can play a little looser on the road as underdogs. Injuries have hurt the team, but they also might not have been quite ready.

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However, games with shorter spreads tend to be high-leverage situations, since they’re against better opponents who could potentially compete for home-field advantage. In these games, Mahomes is more likely to scramble and Reid is more likely to use his full arsenal to ensure victory. Chiefs are 5-2 SU in their previous seven games this season.

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Cincinnati is 1-4 straight up in their last five games when playing on the road against Baltimore. The Vikings have been an underdog by 2.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread. Dallas’ games this season have featured more combined points than this contest’s total of 52 points five times. Dallas has covered in each of its six games with a spread this season.

Cincinnati is and Las Vegas is 4-5, depending on the closing number. Panthers are 4-1 SU in their last five games when playing at home against the Football Team. Bills are 4-1 SU in their last five games when playing at home against the Colts. Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog.

Some NFL betting analysts pointed to the weak caliber of the Broncos’ first three opponents this season as cause for concern. Well, Denver has stumbled each of the last two weeks against more competent AFC North foes. Being without both starting offensive guards in Week 4 against the Baltimore Ravens proved impactful. While quarterback, Teddy Bridgewater, was able to clear concussion protocol in time for last week’s game, the Broncos still fell on the road to the Pittsburgh Steelers. Defensively, the Raiders offered little resistance to the last competent offense they faced two weeks ago.

We aggregate the feeds from the top online sportsbooks to pool a huge amount of data from all over the world. Betting on the NFL remains by far the leading single driver of sportsbook business. Cincinnati has a huge rest advantage as it comes off of a bye week and should get a few players back from injury. The Raiders played Sunday night in Week 10 and were dominated in a loss to Kansas City.

Cincinnati +8 At Indianapolis Total 46 5 At Betrivers Indiana

On the flip side, there was one "smart money" play, with 47% of bets but 61% of the money on the Miami Dolphins to cover against the New England Patriots. If you placed a wager or two in Week 1, you might have gotten the sense that underdogs were performing well – quite, quite well, in fact. Through the first 16 games of the 2021 NFL season, underdogs are 12-4 against the spread, covering in a whopping 75% of games. Week 1 is almost in the books, and there are already some incredible trends emerging from the betting data.