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Trump Fights Back?

Each state is assigned a number of electoral votes based on its population. A candidate must reach 270 Electoral College votes in order to win the election. Naturally, the larger states with more residents are assigned a larger number of votes.

How Accurate Are The Betting Odds For The Election

They also have large populations and large numbers of mail-in ballots -- millions in some cases. It's useful for measuring something called the "Consent of the Governed". It's generally a good idea to have a leader who is at least popular even if it's not a legal requirement. Without the majority population on his side, what type of "Mandate" for the radial changes trump pushed through do you think he has? Pure in-your-face power plays by a minority party is a shitty outcome for democracy. One of the most significant reasons for the electoral college still does exist, which is why it hasn't been reformed.

Biden Expected To Win Easily

While Twitter could take down manipulated media shared by the President, booting him from their platform entirely could result in a complicated legal mess, not to mention outrage from his supporters. Around half the bets on the UK-based Smarkets Exchange are on the result being declared on Tuesday or Wednesday, Patrick Flynn, political analyst at Smarkets, told GMF. Shaddick told the Reuters Global Markets Forum on Monday that he expected “a few days of counting every vote in every state” if Republican President Donald Trump were to win. Most of the big-money betting occurs outside the United States as betting on politics is illegal there. “Florida is one where the polls suggest Biden is the more likely winner, but the markets have Trump as favourite,” Shaddick said. People were still rushing to place bets on the eve of Tuesday’s election and Matthew Shaddick, Head of Politics Betting at Ladbrokes Coral Group, said it estimated about one billion pounds would be wagered globally across the industry.

Odds Flip In Favor Of Donald Trump With Betting Markets Giving Him 65% Chance To Win Reelection

And potentially as significant this year will be the roles assigned the U.S. Krishnamurty, who said he had earned roughly half a million dollars during his betting career, has laid money on several election-related markets this year. He took a winning position on Trump's selection of Indiana Governor Mike Pence as his running mate and bet against Jeb Bush during the Republican nominating contests.

If You're The Gambling Type And You Have A Keen Interest In American Politics, Your Dream Job Has Arrived

After entering the day trailing Senator Bernie Sanders in delegates, Biden finished it with a lead of nearly 200 delegates. Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg all impressed during the debate with a major stand out moment occurring from Sanders on supporting a female presidential candidate. June was the first month that Biden and Trump tied for the same odds to win. This was after George Floyd’s death and the public’s outrage of the lack of action taken by Trump against law enforcement when it came to BLM.

While primary wins are good to track for bets on the party nominee, it's important to understand that that a candidate can gain overwhelming support in their party's state nomination contest but have almost no chance in that same state's general election. Interest Abounds in US Presidential Election Betting Bookmakers have been setting lines on U.S. presidential elections for decades. Hundreds of millions of dollars have exchanged hands in under-the-table wagers.

The year 2020 has already been one that has shaken the foundations of what have long been global norms and traditional expectations. And the evidence is mounting that with the U.S. elections approaching, the wild ride may not be over yet. The truth is that after decades of looking for illegal voting, there's no proof of widespread fraud.